Burton Albion vs Nottm Forest U21

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Burton Albion

Nottm Forest U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.9% 1.56 DRAW 21.3% 4.47 AWAY 17.9% 5.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nottm Forest U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Burton Albion Nottm Forest U21

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Nottm Forest U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Burton Albion Nottm Forest U21

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Burton Albion Nottm Forest U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Burton Albion ↓ -0.06 (-3.4%)

Nottm Forest U21 ↑ +0.31 (+6.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.