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England EFL Trophy · GB

Bradford vs York

10 Nov 2026 · 20:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Bradford. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.76 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.77. At this price, a home win for Bradford does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Bradford
STOCHASTICBET 56.4%
PINNACLE 53.1% odd 1.76
DIFFERENCE +3.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.2%
PINNACLE 22.8% odd 4.09
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
AWAY
York
STOCHASTICBET 21.4%
PINNACLE 24.1% odd 3.88
DIFFERENCE -2.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 09:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Bradford has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bradford York
Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Bradford, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bradford York
Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Bradford has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bradford York

The combined recent performance profile favours Bradford.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-10 01:23:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +1.09 pp +1.74 pp
DRAW -0.27 pp -0.10 pp
AWAY -0.82 pp -1.64 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.