Bradford vs Newcastle U21

22 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Bradford

Newcastle U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.8% DRAW 11.9% AWAY 6.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.9% 1.19 DRAW 13.3% 7.16 AWAY 6.8% 14.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Bradford has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bradford Newcastle U21

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Bradford, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bradford Newcastle U21

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Bradford has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bradford Newcastle U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Bradford.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Bradford ↓ -0.03 (-2.5%)

Newcastle U21 ↑ +5.25 (+56.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.