Salford City vs Sheff Wed

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Salford City

Sheff Wed

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 36.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% 2.77 DRAW 24.4% 3.92 AWAY 41.1% 2.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Salford City clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.5% win probability, compared with 34.5% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Salford City has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Salford City Sheff Wed

Shots 15.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Salford City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Salford City Sheff Wed

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Salford City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Salford City Sheff Wed

The combined recent performance profile favours Salford City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Salford City ↓ -0.11 (-3.7%)

Sheff Wed ↓ -0.09 (-3.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.