Medeama SC vs TP Mazembe

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Medeama SC

TP Mazembe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% DRAW 32.2% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% 2.38 DRAW 31.9% 3.00 AWAY 27.8% 3.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Medeama SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Medeama SC TP Mazembe

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Medeama SC TP Mazembe

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Medeama SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Medeama SC TP Mazembe

The combined recent performance profile favours Medeama SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Medeama SC ↓ -2.47 (-50.9%)

TP Mazembe ↑ +1.77 (+106.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.