Spain Tercera Group 14 · ES

Plasencia vs SP Villafranca

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for SP Villafranca. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.80 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.98. At this price, an away win for SP Villafranca does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME

Plasencia

STOCHASTICBET 37.1%

PINNACLE 37.8% odd 2.44

DIFFERENCE -0.7 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 29.3%

PINNACLE 29.3% odd 3.14

DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp

AWAY MODEL > MARKET

SP Villafranca

STOCHASTICBET 33.6%

PINNACLE 32.9% odd 2.80

DIFFERENCE +0.7 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: SP Villafranca

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Plasencia SP Villafranca

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours SP Villafranca, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Plasencia SP Villafranca

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Plasencia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Plasencia SP Villafranca

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.