Birmingham Legion FC vs New Mexico United

17 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Birmingham Legion FC

New Mexico United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 35.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% 2.58 DRAW 27.1% 3.52 AWAY 36.0% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Birmingham Legion FC New Mexico United

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Birmingham Legion FC New Mexico United

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Birmingham Legion FC New Mexico United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Birmingham Legion FC ↑ +0.22 (+9.3%)

New Mexico United ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.