Accrington Stanley vs Sunderland U21

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Accrington Stanley

Sunderland U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% 1.68 DRAW 22.0% 4.23 AWAY 22.7% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sunderland U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.4% win probability, compared with 22.7% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sunderland U21

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Accrington Stanley Sunderland U21

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 19.5 · On target 10.0

Recent attacking output favours Sunderland U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Accrington Stanley Sunderland U21

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Accrington Stanley Sunderland U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Sunderland U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Accrington Stanley ↑ +0.03 (+2.1%)

Sunderland U21 ↑ +0.30 (+7.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.