Oldham vs Fleetwood Town

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Oldham

Fleetwood Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.20 DRAW 25.2% 3.76 AWAY 31.6% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Oldham

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oldham Fleetwood Town

Shots 15.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Oldham, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oldham Fleetwood Town

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oldham Fleetwood Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Oldham ↓ -0.40 (-15.4%)

Fleetwood Town ↑ +0.53 (+21.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.