Tranmere vs Shrewsbury

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Tranmere

Shrewsbury

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% 2.28 DRAW 28.5% 3.30 AWAY 30.3% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Shrewsbury has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tranmere Shrewsbury

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Shrewsbury, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tranmere Shrewsbury

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Shrewsbury has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tranmere Shrewsbury

The combined recent performance profile favours Shrewsbury.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tranmere ↑ +0.13 (+6.0%)

Shrewsbury ↓ -0.27 (-8.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.