York vs Rotherham

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

York

Rotherham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 31.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.15 DRAW 25.2% 3.70 AWAY 31.4% 2.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: York

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

York Rotherham

Shots 15.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours York, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

York Rotherham

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Rotherham has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

York Rotherham

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

York ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

Rotherham ↓ -0.11 (-3.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.