Al-Ahli Manama vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Al-Ahli Manama

Al Ittifaq Maqaba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.37 DRAW 25.4% 3.64 AWAY 35.5% 2.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Ittifaq Maqaba has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Ahli Manama Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Ittifaq Maqaba, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Ahli Manama Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Al Ittifaq Maqaba has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Ahli Manama Al Ittifaq Maqaba

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ittifaq Maqaba.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al-Ahli Manama ↓ -0.59 (-19.9%)

Al Ittifaq Maqaba ↑ +0.46 (+21.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.