Sitra vs Al Hidd

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Sitra

Al Hidd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.15 DRAW 28.4% 3.27 AWAY 28.5% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sitra relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.9% win probability, compared with 43.1% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sitra

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sitra Al Hidd

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Sitra, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sitra Al Hidd

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sitra Al Hidd

The combined recent performance profile favours Sitra.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sitra ↓ -0.03 (-1.4%)

Al Hidd ↑ +0.07 (+2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.