Manama vs Al-Riffa

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Manama

Al-Riffa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.3% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 70.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.5% 8.15 DRAW 18.7% 5.00 AWAY 69.8% 1.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al-Riffa has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Manama Al-Riffa

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Al-Riffa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Manama Al-Riffa

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Manama Al-Riffa

The combined recent performance profile favours Al-Riffa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Manama ↑ +0.65 (+8.7%)

Al-Riffa ↓ -0.14 (-9.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.