Al Hidd vs Al-Ahli Manama

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Al Hidd

Al-Ahli Manama

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 29.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% 2.38 DRAW 29.4% 3.20 AWAY 31.2% 3.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Al Hidd

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Hidd Al-Ahli Manama

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Hidd Al-Ahli Manama

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Al Hidd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Hidd Al-Ahli Manama

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Hidd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Al Hidd ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

Al-Ahli Manama ↑ +0.39 (+14.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.