Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Al-Muharraq

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Al-Muharraq

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.1% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 65.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.8% 6.82 DRAW 20.9% 4.51 AWAY 65.3% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al-Muharraq has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al-Muharraq

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Al-Muharraq, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al-Muharraq

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al-Muharraq

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al Ittifaq Maqaba ↓ -2.68 (-28.2%)

Al-Muharraq ↑ +0.17 (+13.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.