Al Khalidiyah vs A'ali Club

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Al Khalidiyah

A'ali Club

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.1% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 9.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.5% 1.36 DRAW 19.2% 4.95 AWAY 11.4% 8.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Khalidiyah relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 73.1% win probability, compared with 69.5% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Khalidiyah has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Khalidiyah A'ali Club

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Khalidiyah, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Khalidiyah A'ali Club

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Al Khalidiyah has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Khalidiyah A'ali Club

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Khalidiyah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Khalidiyah ↑ +0.16 (+13.5%)

A'ali Club ↓ -3.65 (-30.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.