Fleetwood Town U21 vs Swansea U21

18 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Fleetwood Town U21

Swansea U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.1% DRAW 19.0% AWAY 58.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.5% 4.00 DRAW 20.5% 4.60 AWAY 56.0% 1.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Swansea U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.9% win probability, compared with 56.0% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Swansea U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fleetwood Town U21 Swansea U21

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Swansea U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fleetwood Town U21 Swansea U21

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fleetwood Town U21 Swansea U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Swansea U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Fleetwood Town U21 ↑ +0.92 (+29.7%)

Swansea U21 ↓ -0.15 (-8.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.