Sheff Utd U21 vs Cardiff U21

14 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.4 pp

Sheff Utd U21

Cardiff U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.5% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 29.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.5% 1.82 DRAW 22.0% 4.33 AWAY 25.5% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Cardiff U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.9% win probability, compared with 25.5% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cardiff U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sheff Utd U21 Cardiff U21

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Cardiff U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sheff Utd U21 Cardiff U21

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Cardiff U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sheff Utd U21 Cardiff U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Cardiff U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sheff Utd U21 ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Cardiff U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.