Millwall U21 vs Bolton U21

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Millwall U21

Bolton U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% 1.87 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 28.1% 3.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Bolton U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Millwall U21 Bolton U21

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Bolton U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Millwall U21 Bolton U21

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Millwall U21 Bolton U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Bolton U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Millwall U21 ↓ -0.03 (-1.6%)

Bolton U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.