Wigan U21 vs Colchester U21

15 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Wigan U21

Colchester U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.2% DRAW 16.9% AWAY 20.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.1% 1.57 DRAW 18.6% 5.01 AWAY 22.3% 4.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Wigan U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.2% win probability, compared with 59.1% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Wigan U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wigan U21 Colchester U21

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wigan U21 Colchester U21

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 9.3

Wigan U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wigan U21 Colchester U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Wigan U21 ↓ -0.03 (-1.6%)

Colchester U21 ↑ +0.05 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.