Peterborough U21 vs Bristol City U21

15 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Peterborough U21

Bristol City U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.4% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.98 DRAW 22.1% 4.33 AWAY 29.5% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Peterborough U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.4% win probability, compared with 48.4% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Peterborough U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Peterborough U21 Bristol City U21

Shots 22.5 · On target 8.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Peterborough U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Peterborough U21 Bristol City U21

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Bristol City U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Peterborough U21 Bristol City U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Peterborough U21 ↑ +0.08 (+4.2%)

Bristol City U21 ↑ +0.45 (+16.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.