Coventry U21 vs Barnsley U21

15 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Coventry U21

Barnsley U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 30.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% 2.10 DRAW 22.0% 4.20 AWAY 34.1% 2.71

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Coventry U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.7% win probability, compared with 44.0% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Coventry U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Coventry U21 Barnsley U21

Shots 15.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Coventry U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Coventry U21 Barnsley U21

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Coventry U21 Barnsley U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Coventry U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Coventry U21 ↓ -0.28 (-11.6%)

Barnsley U21 ↑ +0.51 (+23.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.