Colchester U21 vs Sheffield Wed U21

25 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.4 pp

Colchester U21

Sheffield Wed U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 47.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% 2.70 DRAW 20.5% 4.83 AWAY 43.0% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sheffield Wed U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.3% win probability, compared with 43.0% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sheffield Wed U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colchester U21 Sheffield Wed U21

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colchester U21 Sheffield Wed U21

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Sheffield Wed U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colchester U21 Sheffield Wed U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Sheffield Wed U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Colchester U21 ↓ -0.50 (-15.6%)

Sheffield Wed U21 ↑ +0.31 (+15.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.