Sanremese vs Celle Varazze FBC

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Sanremese

Celle Varazze FBC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 1.86 DRAW 28.0% 3.24 AWAY 23.2% 3.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Celle Varazze FBC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sanremese Celle Varazze FBC

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Celle Varazze FBC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sanremese Celle Varazze FBC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sanremese Celle Varazze FBC

The combined recent performance profile favours Celle Varazze FBC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sanremese ↑ +0.04 (+2.2%)

Celle Varazze FBC ↑ +0.02 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.