USD Fezzanese vs Chisola

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

USD Fezzanese

Chisola

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 35.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% 2.96 DRAW 29.1% 3.30 AWAY 38.4% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chisola

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

USD Fezzanese Chisola

Shots 1.5 · On target 0.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Chisola, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

USD Fezzanese Chisola

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.8

USD Fezzanese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

USD Fezzanese Chisola

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

USD Fezzanese ↓ -0.14 (-4.5%)

Chisola ↑ +0.20 (+8.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.