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Spain Tercera Group 4 · ES

Santurtzi vs CD Alaves C

08 Nov 2026 · 11:15
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for CD Alaves C. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.28 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.44. At this price, an away win for CD Alaves C does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Santurtzi
STOCHASTICBET 29.2%
PINNACLE 29.7% odd 3.10
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 29.8%
PINNACLE 29.9% odd 3.08
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
CD Alaves C
STOCHASTICBET 41.0%
PINNACLE 40.4% odd 2.28
DIFFERENCE +0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 09:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: CD Alaves C

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Santurtzi CD Alaves C
Shots 11.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours CD Alaves C, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Santurtzi CD Alaves C
Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Santurtzi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Santurtzi CD Alaves C

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -0.05 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.05 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.10 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — -2.87 pp
DRAW — -0.16 pp
AWAY — +3.03 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.