Santurtzi vs Cultural de Durango

13 Sep 2026 · 11:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Santurtzi

Cultural de Durango

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 30.4% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% 2.36 DRAW 30.2% 3.10 AWAY 30.0% 3.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cultural de Durango

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santurtzi Cultural de Durango

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Cultural de Durango, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santurtzi Cultural de Durango

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Santurtzi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santurtzi Cultural de Durango

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Santurtzi ↑ +0.12 (+5.4%)

Cultural de Durango ↓ -0.02 (-0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.