Atletico Arteixo vs Alondras

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Atletico Arteixo

Alondras

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 37.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% 2.62 DRAW 29.2% 3.20 AWAY 35.0% 2.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Alondras relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.6% win probability, compared with 35.0% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Arteixo

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Arteixo Alondras

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 0.5 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Arteixo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Arteixo Alondras

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Alondras has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Arteixo Alondras

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Atletico Arteixo ↑ +0.22 (+9.2%)

Alondras ↑ +0.05 (+1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.