ASD Rondinella Marzocco vs Lucchese

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

ASD Rondinella Marzocco

Lucchese

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.6% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 52.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.0% 4.10 DRAW 26.5% 3.40 AWAY 51.5% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD Rondinella Marzocco

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Rondinella Marzocco Lucchese

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Rondinella Marzocco Lucchese

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Lucchese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Rondinella Marzocco Lucchese

The combined recent performance profile favours Lucchese.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ASD Rondinella Marzocco ↑ +1.73 (+72.6%)

Lucchese ↓ -0.88 (-33.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.