ASD Sasso Marconi vs San Donato Tavarnelle

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

ASD Sasso Marconi

San Donato Tavarnelle

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 32.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.6% 2.60 DRAW 30.9% 3.00 AWAY 33.5% 2.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD Sasso Marconi

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Sasso Marconi San Donato Tavarnelle

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Sasso Marconi San Donato Tavarnelle

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Sasso Marconi San Donato Tavarnelle

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ASD Sasso Marconi ↑ +0.10 (+4.0%)

San Donato Tavarnelle ↑ +0.16 (+6.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.