Nocerina vs Ischia

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Nocerina

Ischia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 17.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% 1.71 DRAW 27.0% 3.50 AWAY 17.8% 5.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nocerina

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nocerina Ischia

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Nocerina, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nocerina Ischia

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nocerina Ischia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nocerina ↓ -0.45 (-20.8%)

Ischia ↑ +2.14 (+67.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.