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Italy Serie D · IT

Brindisi vs Fidelis Andria

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00
NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp
Brindisi
Fidelis Andria
HOME 30.5% DRAW 32.2% AWAY 37.3%
HOME 31.0% 2.94 DRAW 31.7% 2.88 AWAY 37.3% 2.45

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fidelis Andria

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Brindisi Fidelis Andria
Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Fidelis Andria, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Brindisi Fidelis Andria
Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Brindisi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Brindisi Fidelis Andria

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Brindisi ↑ +0.30 (+11.4%)
Fidelis Andria ↓ -0.04 (-1.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.