Fidelis Andria vs Manfredonia

16 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Fidelis Andria

Manfredonia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 15.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.2% 1.65 DRAW 26.9% 3.45 AWAY 16.9% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Fidelis Andria has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fidelis Andria Manfredonia

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 3.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Fidelis Andria, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fidelis Andria Manfredonia

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fidelis Andria Manfredonia

The combined recent performance profile favours Fidelis Andria.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Fidelis Andria ↓ -0.27 (-14.1%)

Manfredonia ↑ +1.76 (+46.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.