Bisceglie 1913 vs FC Francavilla

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Bisceglie 1913

FC Francavilla

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% 2.35 DRAW 30.1% 3.10 AWAY 30.1% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Bisceglie 1913 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.6% win probability, compared with 39.7% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bisceglie 1913 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bisceglie 1913 FC Francavilla

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Bisceglie 1913, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bisceglie 1913 FC Francavilla

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.5

Bisceglie 1913 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bisceglie 1913 FC Francavilla

The combined recent performance profile favours Bisceglie 1913.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Bisceglie 1913 ↓ -0.05 (-2.1%)

FC Francavilla ↑ +0.40 (+14.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.