Clodiense vs Este

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Clodiense

Este

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.87 DRAW 26.6% 3.40 AWAY 24.9% 3.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Este

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Clodiense Este

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Este, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Clodiense Este

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Clodiense Este

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Clodiense ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

Este ↓ -0.32 (-8.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.