Nissa FC vs Vigor Lamezia

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Nissa FC

Vigor Lamezia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.4% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 14.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.8% 1.66 DRAW 25.8% 3.72 AWAY 16.4% 5.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Nissa FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.4% win probability, compared with 57.8% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nissa FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nissa FC Vigor Lamezia

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Nissa FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nissa FC Vigor Lamezia

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Nissa FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nissa FC Vigor Lamezia

The combined recent performance profile favours Nissa FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nissa FC ↓ -0.07 (-3.9%)

Vigor Lamezia ↑ +0.60 (+11.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.