ES Mostaganem vs USM Blida

04 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

ES Mostaganem

USM Blida

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.3% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 13.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.9% 1.30 DRAW 19.9% 4.50 AWAY 11.2% 8.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ES Mostaganem

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ES Mostaganem USM Blida

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours ES Mostaganem, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ES Mostaganem USM Blida

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.0

USM Blida has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ES Mostaganem USM Blida

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ES Mostaganem = (0.0%)

USM Blida = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.