NRB Teleghma vs MSP Batna

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

NRB Teleghma

MSP Batna

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 40.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% 3.02 DRAW 31.9% 2.90 AWAY 37.6% 2.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for MSP Batna relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.1% win probability, compared with 37.6% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MSP Batna

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NRB Teleghma MSP Batna

Shots 0.5 · On target 0.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours MSP Batna, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NRB Teleghma MSP Batna

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.0

NRB Teleghma has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NRB Teleghma MSP Batna

The combined recent performance profile favours MSP Batna.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

NRB Teleghma ↓ -0.38 (-11.2%)

MSP Batna ↑ +0.36 (+17.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.