ASC Kara vs ASEC Mimosas

06 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

ASC Kara

ASEC Mimosas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% DRAW 32.9% AWAY 42.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.9% 3.70 DRAW 32.0% 2.88 AWAY 43.1% 2.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASC Kara

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASC Kara ASEC Mimosas

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours ASC Kara, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASC Kara ASEC Mimosas

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3

ASEC Mimosas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASC Kara ASEC Mimosas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

ASC Kara ↓ -0.56 (-13.0%)

ASEC Mimosas ↑ +0.22 (+11.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.