USM El Harrach vs ASM Oran

04 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

USM El Harrach

ASM Oran

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% 1.60 DRAW 27.6% 3.25 AWAY 16.3% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: USM El Harrach

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

USM El Harrach ASM Oran

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours USM El Harrach, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

USM El Harrach ASM Oran

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8

ASM Oran has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

USM El Harrach ASM Oran

The combined recent performance profile favours ASM Oran.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

USM El Harrach = (0.0%)

ASM Oran = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.