Energetik Mingechevir vs Zaqatala

04 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Energetik Mingechevir

Zaqatala

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.9% DRAW 19.5% AWAY 10.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% 1.37 DRAW 20.4% 4.60 AWAY 11.3% 8.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Energetik Mingechevir has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Energetik Mingechevir Zaqatala

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Energetik Mingechevir Zaqatala

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Energetik Mingechevir has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Energetik Mingechevir Zaqatala

The combined recent performance profile favours Energetik Mingechevir.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Energetik Mingechevir ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Zaqatala = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.