Avellino U19 vs Latina U19

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Avellino U19

Latina U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 21.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% 1.72 DRAW 23.1% 3.99 AWAY 23.4% 3.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Avellino U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.7% win probability, compared with 53.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Avellino U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Avellino U19 Latina U19

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Avellino U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Avellino U19 Latina U19

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Avellino U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Avellino U19 Latina U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Avellino U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Avellino U19 ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

Latina U19 ↓ -0.19 (-4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.