Frosinone U19 vs Pisa U19

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Frosinone U19

Pisa U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 49.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% 4.00 DRAW 23.0% 4.29 AWAY 52.3% 1.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Frosinone U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.8% win probability, compared with 24.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pisa U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Frosinone U19 Pisa U19

Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Pisa U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Frosinone U19 Pisa U19

Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Frosinone U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Frosinone U19 Pisa U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Frosinone U19 = (0.0%)

Pisa U19 ↑ +0.28 (+17.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.