Palermo U19 vs Bari U19

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Palermo U19

Bari U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 31.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.41 DRAW 27.4% 3.40 AWAY 33.9% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Palermo U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.8% win probability, compared with 38.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Palermo U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Palermo U19 Bari U19

Shots 15.0 · On target 7.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Palermo U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Palermo U19 Bari U19

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Palermo U19 Bari U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Palermo U19 ↑ +0.11 (+4.8%)

Bari U19 ↑ +0.15 (+5.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.