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Qatar Cup · QA

Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa

01 Sep 2026 · 16:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 57.5%
Draw 24.4%
Away 18.1%

Consensus based on 1 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 33.1 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Al Sadd has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Sadd Al Gharafa
Shots 14.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Sadd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Sadd Al Gharafa
Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Sadd Al Gharafa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Sadd = (0.0%)
Al Gharafa = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.314
Shot rating 11
Shots-on-target rating 13
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.