Erzurumspor FK U19 vs Konyaspor U19

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Erzurumspor FK U19

Konyaspor U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 30.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.22 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 32.5% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Erzurumspor FK U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.0% win probability, compared with 41.7% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Konyaspor U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Erzurumspor FK U19 Konyaspor U19

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Konyaspor U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Erzurumspor FK U19 Konyaspor U19

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 8.3

Erzurumspor FK U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Erzurumspor FK U19 Konyaspor U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Erzurumspor FK U19 ↑ +0.12 (+5.7%)

Konyaspor U19 ↑ +0.05 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.