Sama Al Sarhan vs Jerash SC

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Sama Al Sarhan

Jerash SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 24.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 1.95 DRAW 26.9% 3.55 AWAY 24.2% 3.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sama Al Sarhan

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sama Al Sarhan Jerash SC

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 3.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Sama Al Sarhan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sama Al Sarhan Jerash SC

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.5

Jerash SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sama Al Sarhan Jerash SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sama Al Sarhan ↑ +0.15 (+8.4%)

Jerash SC ↓ -0.05 (-1.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.