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Hungary U19 1st Division · HU

Ferencvarosi U19 vs Gyori ETO U19

24 Oct 2026 · 11:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a clear model-market difference for a home win for Ferencvarosi U19. The model is meaningfully more favourable to this outcome than the market.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.80 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.76. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for Ferencvarosi U19, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Ferencvarosi U19
STOCHASTICBET 56.8%
BET365 49.8% odd 1.80
DIFFERENCE +7.0 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 19.7%
BET365 21.3% odd 4.20
DIFFERENCE -1.6 pp
AWAY
Gyori ETO U19
STOCHASTICBET 23.5%
BET365 28.9% odd 3.10
DIFFERENCE -5.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 07:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Ferencvarosi U19 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Ferencvarosi U19 Gyori ETO U19
Shots 14.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Ferencvarosi U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Ferencvarosi U19 Gyori ETO U19
Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Ferencvarosi U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Ferencvarosi U19 Gyori ETO U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Ferencvarosi U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-24 09:13:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Historical odds not available for this match.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Hungary U19 1st Division · 65 matches with scores · 51 with shots · coverage 78.5%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Ferencvarosi U196 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LDDWLW
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
Gyori ETO U196 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DWDLLW
Shot data available for 3/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ferencvarosi U19Home team
+3.113.8 actual
Gyori ETO U19Away team
−2.28.0 actual
Ferencvarosi U19: 13.8 · league average 10.7 · 5 valid matchesGyori ETO U19: 8.0 · league average 10.2 · 3 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ferencvarosi U19Home team
−3.97.0 actual
Gyori ETO U19Away team
−1.010.3 actual
Ferencvarosi U19: 7.0 · league average 10.9 · 5 valid matchesGyori ETO U19: 10.3 · league average 11.4 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ferencvarosi U19Home team
+0.75.8 actual
Gyori ETO U19Away team
−0.34.7 actual
Ferencvarosi U19: 5.8 · league average 5.1 · 5 valid matchesGyori ETO U19: 4.7 · league average 5.0 · 3 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ferencvarosi U19Home team
−1.63.6 actual
Gyori ETO U19Away team
+1.77.0 actual
Ferencvarosi U19: 3.6 · league average 5.2 · 5 valid matchesGyori ETO U19: 7.0 · league average 5.3 · 3 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Ferencvarosi U19Home team
+0.562.33 actual
Gyori ETO U19Away team
−0.271.50 actual
Ferencvarosi U19: 2.33 · league average 1.77 · 6 valid matchesGyori ETO U19: 1.50 · league average 1.77 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Ferencvarosi U19Home team
+2.7 pp20.3% actual
Gyori ETO U19Away team
−5.9 pp12.5% actual
Ferencvarosi U19: 20.3% · league average 17.6% · 5 valid matchesGyori ETO U19: 12.5% · league average 18.4% · 3 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Ferencvarosi U19Home team
−0.1 pp17.1% actual
Gyori ETO U19Away team
+9.3 pp25.8% actual
Ferencvarosi U19: 17.1% · league average 17.2% · 5 valid matchesGyori ETO U19: 25.8% · league average 16.6% · 3 valid matches

Individual match details

Ferencvarosi U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away0–2——
07/10/2026Home1–113 / 55 / 2
19/09/2026Away3–314 / 74 / 4
12/09/2026Home6–016 / 410 / 3
04/09/2026Away0–114 / 102 / 4
06/06/2026Away4–112 / 98 / 5
Gyori ETO U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home1–1——
10/10/2026Away3–015 / 48 / 3
19/09/2026Home2–2——
12/09/2026Away0–45 / 143 / 9
12/09/2026Away0–44 / 133 / 9
05/09/2026Away3–2——

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.