Puskas Academy U19 vs MTK Budapest U19

05 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Puskas Academy U19

MTK Budapest U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% DRAW 18.8% AWAY 62.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.3% 5.11 DRAW 19.4% 4.81 AWAY 62.3% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: MTK Budapest U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Puskas Academy U19 MTK Budapest U19

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Puskas Academy U19 MTK Budapest U19

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

MTK Budapest U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Puskas Academy U19 MTK Budapest U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Puskas Academy U19 ↑ +0.61 (+13.6%)

MTK Budapest U19 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.